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3-Way Comparator · TFRS 16 · BOI Sec 30

Solar Lease vs Self-Invest vs PPA — Thailand Factories 2026

Thailand's only 3-way solar decision guide: 15 dimensions + 15-yr cashflow for a 2 MW factory. Covers TFRS 16 lease accounting, BOI Section 30 stacking, and the CFO-persona decision tree.

15 dimensions15-yr cashflowTFRS 16 + BOI
14-min read · updated 2026-04-24
Disclaimer

All cashflow, CapEx, and tax-savings numbers are illustrative. Based on 2026-Q1 BOI category list + TFRS 16 (FAP) + ERC TOU peak THB 3.88-3.95/kWh. Consult a BOI-approved advisor and Thai CPA before any decision.

Answer in one paragraph

EPC, PPA, and Operating Lease are Thailand's three main factory solar financing models. EPC = factory pays full CapEx and owns the asset Day 1 (typical THB 25-35M per MW). PPA = provider owns the asset; factory pays only per-kWh at THB 2.70-3.55/kWh, 10-30% below grid, 15-20 yr. Operating Lease = 5-10 yr rental with end-of-term buyout option (TFRS 16 on-balance-sheet).

The 3 Models: EPC · PPA · Lease

Each model fits a different CFO profile. The wrong choice costs THB 20-50M over 15 years. This guide isn't long for length — the goal is to help a CFO decide in one meeting.

EPC · Own Day 1

Pay 100% CapEx upfront; factory owns the asset Day 1. Stack BOI Section 7.1 (8-yr CIT) + Section 30 + EEC +50%. 5-yr straight-line depreciation. Payback 4-6 yr; highest 15-yr ROI.

PPA · 0 CapEx

Operator (IPP) funds 100%. Factory signs 15-20 yr power purchase at THB 2.70-3.55/kWh fixed (10-30% below grid). Operator absorbs O&M + performance risk. Under TFRS 16, classified as a service contract, not a lease (off-balance-sheet).

Operating Lease · 5-10 yr

Flat monthly rental, 5-10 yr term, pre-agreed buyout schedule. Under TFRS 16, on-balance-sheet (ROU asset + lease liability). Flexible end-of-term: return / buyout / renew. Best for CFOs with mid-tenor plant-life uncertainty.

15-Dimension Comparator

Every cell backed by evidence. Click each row for rationale. Green = best · amber = mid · blue = situational.

DimensionEPC (Own)PPA (Operator)Operating Lease
Upfront CapEx100% · THB 25-35M per MWTHB 010-15% security deposit
Asset ownershipFactory Day 1 (permanent)Operator · transfer yr 15-20 (THB 1)Lessor · buyout option per schedule
O&M responsibilityFactory (or 3rd-party ~THB 80-120K/MW/yr)Operator 100% (bundled in THB/kWh)Lessor 100% (bundled in rental)
Performance / generation riskFactory bears (minus 12-mo warranty)Operator 100% (Performance Ratio guarantee)Shared — depends on SLA
Tariff hedge tenorSelf-generation (25-yr hedge = system life)THB 2.70-3.55/kWh fixed 15-20 yr (10-30% discount)Flat monthly rental · 5-10 yr fixed
Early terminationN/A — factory owns the assetNPV-based buyout · 30-50% penalty on remaining NPVPre-agreed buyout schedule (early-exit table)
BOI Sec 30 / 7.1 eligibilityYes — factory holds CapEx, claims full 8-yr CIT exemptionNo — Operator claims (not the factory)Partial — only if Finance-Lease structure (ROU + bargain-purchase)
Tax / depreciation treatment5-yr straight-line depreciation + BOI exemption100% OpEx (fully tax-deductible)OpEx rental (Operating Lease) · ROU + interest split (Finance Lease)
Balance-sheet / TFRS 16Asset + no debt (cash-funded) · no D/E impactOff-balance-sheet (service contract — no lease)On-balance-sheet — ROU asset + lease liability · D/E impact
End-of-term outcomeAsset operates 20-25 more yrs (high residual value)Transfer at THB 1 or renew 5-yrReturn / buyout / renew
Buyout pathwayN/A — already ownedYr 7-10 · fair-market value (FMV) calcPre-agreed buyout schedule in contract
5-yr cashflow (2 MW factory)-60M → +22M net0 → +18M savings-3M → +14M savings
10-yr cumulative+48M net+40M savings+30M savings
15-yr cumulative+120M (asset + savings)+68M (savings only)+52M (post-buyout)
Who this model fitsCash-rich CFO wanting max ROI + BOI benefitsCash-constrained factory · OpEx simplicityMid-tenor plant uncertainty · may relocate

15-Yr Cashflow · 2 MW Factory

Assumptions: 2.2M kWh/yr generation · grid TOU THB 3.95/kWh · PPA rate THB 2.80/kWh · 12% discount · 20% CIT · post-BOI CapEx THB 60M (2 MW @ 30M/MW)

YearEPC cum (THB)PPA cum (THB)Lease cum (THB)Notes
Year 0 (start)-฿60M฿0-฿3MEPC deploys 60M cash · PPA uses none · Lease posts 3M deposit
Year 5+฿22M+฿18M+฿14MEPC payback reached; all 3 models turn positive
Year 10+฿48M+฿40M+฿30MEPC pulls ahead of PPA · Lease mid (buyout window yr 7-10)
Year 15+฿120M+฿68M+฿52M15-yr spread · EPC +120M · PPA +68M · Lease +52M (buyout-dependent)

Bottom line: with cash, EPC wins by +52M over 15 yr. Without cash, PPA beats Lease by +16M. Lease wins when plant-life certainty is below 15 yr.

Run with your own factory numbers

Decision Tree · 4 CFO Scenarios

Pick the condition matching your factory — get a recommended model with rationale. Based on a 2 MW factory. Scale with the PPA vs Self-Invest calculator. Not sure what solar EPC means? Read the full solar EPC guide first. Or see how both models are actually delivered on our combined EPC and PPA services page.

Hybrid Models · 2 Pathways

Sophisticated Thai firms increasingly use 2 hybrid pathways to get both worlds. Both require tighter contract negotiation. Warning: legal + financial advisory costs ~10-15% higher than a straight deal.

Path A · PPA → EPC Buyout Yr 7-10 (FMV)

Sign PPA 15-20 yr with a buyout clause at yr 7-10 at fair-market value (FMV). First 7 yr = OpEx immediate savings. After buyout = factory owns asset + partial BOI Section 30. FMV calc uses residual PV value (NPV method). Tip: lock the FMV formula (discount rate + residual-life assumption) in the contract before signing.

Path B · Lease-to-Own (bargain-purchase THB 1)

Finance-Lease structure; rent for 7-10 yr with rental schedule covering ~95% of CapEx + residual. End-of-term buyout at THB 1. Under TFRS 16, classified as finance lease → factory qualifies for BOI Section 30 (ROU asset substance). Best for factories wanting long-run ownership but smoothed short-term cashflow.

⚠️ BOI Section 30 Stacking: only when factory holds "asset title" or ROU with substance transferring controlling interest. Consult a BOI-approved advisor + CPA first.

TFRS 16 Lease Accounting · Balance-Sheet Impact

TFRS 16 (issued by FAP — Federation of Accounting Professions; aligned with IFRS 16; effective 2020) requires leases > 12 months + non-low-value to be booked as Right-of-Use (ROU) asset + lease liability on-balance-sheet. The three models have distinctly different impacts.

EPC · Factory-owned asset (no lease). Booked as Property, Plant & Equipment (PP&E). Depreciated straight-line 5 yr (with BOI) or 20 yr (standard). No D/E impact.

PPA · Service contract (NOT a lease) — because the operator does not transfer the "right to control" the asset to the factory. Monthly electricity = OpEx. Off-balance-sheet. Suits CFOs wanting low D/E ratio (e.g. pre-IPO).

Operating Lease · on-balance-sheet per TFRS 16. Dr ROU asset + Cr lease liability equal to PV of all rentals. Monthly rental split into interest + principal. Increases both total asset + total liability → affects D/E ratio. Finance Lease is similar but with faster depreciation.

Sources: FAP — Thai Financial Reporting Standard 16 TFRS 16 · PwC Thailand TFRS 16 guide · KPMG Thailand Leases Handbook

HowTo · 4-Step CFO Decision Framework

  1. Step 1 · Answer the cash question

    Can the CFO free up unrestricted cash ≥ CapEx (2 MW = THB 60M) in the budget? If no — go PPA or Lease. If yes — go to Step 2.

  2. Step 2 · Check BOI eligibility

    Does the factory have DBD + DIW Ror Ngor 4 license + plant age ≤ 10 yr? If yes, eligible for BOI Sec 7.1 + Sec 30 + EEC +50% → EPC is #1 choice. If no — Operating Lease or PPA.

  3. Step 3 · Assess plant-life certainty

    Will the factory still be at this site in 15 yr? If yes: EPC (own) or PPA (service). If no: Operating Lease + buyout flexibility. If pre-IPO: PPA to keep balance sheet clean.

  4. Step 4 · Stress-test with tool + CPA review

    Use PPA vs Self-Invest calculator with your real numbers (CapEx, grid rate, PPA rate, WACC, tax rate). Get NPV for all 3 models, then consult a Thai CPA to verify TFRS 16 classification before signing. CapSolar free consultation covers every scenario.

Author note

By Frank Lee · Founder, CapSolar. Our team has delivered 80+ MWp across 150+ projects in Thailand. I've seen 12+ CFOs pick the wrong model because they didn't understand TFRS 16 + BOI stacking. This article is what I wish I had when I started this journey 4 years ago.

Reviewed by: Chief Engineer · CapSolar (2026-04-24)

Frequently Asked Questions

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